Big Country Playoff Scenarios
Going to do our best to break down the potential playoff scenarios heading into the final week of the Texas high school football regular season.
DISTRICT 2-5A DIVISION I
Abilene High is off in Week 11 but has already wrapped up the district championship and the top seed in the playoffs.
The winner of the Amarillo High/Tascosa game will be the #2 seed and the loser will be the #3 seed.
The winner of the Lubbock Monterey/Caprock game will be the #4 seed, and the loser will miss the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
El Paso Bel Air (1-7, 0-5) at Abilene High (8-2, 6-0)
El Paso Parkland (3-6, 2-3) at #2 seed
#3 seed at El Paso Americas (5-4, 3-2)
#4 seed at El Paso El Dorado (8-1, 5-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Abilene High
2. Tascosa
3. Amarillo High
4. Lubbock Monterey
DISTRICT 2-5A DIVISION II
Cooper (4-1 in district) heads to Amarillo Palo Duro (5-0) this week with a chance to win the district championship.
The winner is the #1 seed, and the loser is the #2 seed. Both avoid the long road trip to El Paso.
Lubbock Cooper is locked in as the #3 seed.
If Wichita Falls Memorial beats Wichita Falls Legacy, then the Mavericks will be the #4 seed.
If Wylie beats Plainview and Legacy beats Memorial, the Bulldogs will make the playoffs as the #4 seed.
If Wylie wins and Memorial wins, Memorial will get in thanks to their head-to-head win over the Bulldogs.
It looks like all four of the playoff teams from District 1-5A DI have been decided, but all four seeds are still up in the air.
El Paso Del Valle has finished its season with a 7-1 record but lost earlier this year to 6-1 Chapin. Chapin can get to 7-1 with a win over Hanks (5-2) this week and get the tiebreaker thanks to their win over Del Valle for the #1 seed. Andress (6-1) can also get to 7-1 with a win over Canutillo (5-3) and possibly set up a three-way tie of 7-1 teams for the top spot. Hanks can climb out of the #4 seed with a win over Chapin. There is still quite a bit to be decided out west this week.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
El Paso Hanks (6-3, 5-2)/El Paso Chapin (6-3, 6-1)/El Paso Andress (7-2, 6-1)/El Paso Del Valle (9-1, 7-1) at District 2 #1 seed
Hanks/Chapin/Andress/Del Valle at #2 seed
Lubbock Cooper at District 1 #2 seed
Wylie/WF Memorial at District 1 #1 seed
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Cooper
2. Palo Duro
3. Lubbock Cooper
4. Wichita Falls Memorial
DISTRICT 3-4A DIVISION I
It’s just a four-team district, so all four were in the playoffs before the first kickoff of the season.
The winner of the Lake View/Andrews game this week will be the #1 seed; the loser will be the #2 seed.
The winner of the Big Spring/Pecos game will be the #3 seed; the loser will be the #4 seed.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Lake View/Andrews winner vs. Burnet (3-6, 1-2)
Lake View/Andrews loser vs. Lampasas (8-2, 2-2)
Big Spring/Pecos winner vs. Brownwood (5-4, 2-1)
Big Spring/Pecos loser vs. Stephenville (9-0, 3-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Lake View
2. Andrews
3. Big Spring
4. Pecos
DISTRICT 4-4A DIVISION I
Stephenville has clinched the district title and top seed.
Brownwood will be the #2 seed with a win over Marble Falls this week.
If Brownwood wins, Lampasas will be #3 and Burnet will be #4.
If Brownwood loses and Burnet loses to Stephenville, then Brownwood will be #2, Lampasas #3, and Burnet #4.
If Brownwood loses and Burnet somehow shocks Stephenville, there will be a three-way tie of 2-2 teams between Brownwood, Lampasas, and Burnet.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Stephenville vs. Big Spring (4-4, 0-2)/Pecos (3-6, 0-2) loser
#2 seed vs. Big Spring/Pecos winner
#3 seed vs. Lake View (7-2, 2-0)/Andrews (4-5, 2-0) loser
#4 seed vs. Lake View/Andrews winner
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Stephenville
2. Brownwood
3. Lampasas
4. Burnet
DISTRICT 1-4A DIVISION II
The four playoff spots are locked up and Snyder is on the outside looking in.
Greenwood is the #1 seed and district champion.
If Monahans upsets Seminole, then the Loboes, Indians, and Fort Stockton would all be tied with 2-2 district records.
If Seminole takes care of business against Monahans, then it will be the #2 seed, Fort Stockton will be #3, and Monahans will be #4.
The bi-district matchups from District 2 haven’t yet been completely decided.
The Perryton/Borger winner this week will make the playoffs as the #4 seed.
If Lubbock Cooper-Liberty beats Levelland, it will be #1, Estacado #2, and Levelland #3.
If Levelland beats Liberty, there will be a three-way tie at 3-1 in the district between the Lobos, Liberty, and Estacado.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Greenwood vs. Perryton (3-6, 0-3)/Borger (0-9, 0-3) winner
#2 seed vs. Levelland (6-3, 2-1)/Estacado (7-3, 3-1) or Lubbock Cooper Liberty (8-1, 3-0)
#3 seed vs. Levelland/Estacado/Liberty
#4 seed vs. Levelland/Estacado/Liberty
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Greenwood
2. Seminole
3. Fort Stockton
4. Monahans
DISTRICT 3-4A DIVISION II
Brock is locked in as the #1 seed.
The winner of Graham/Eagle Mountain is the #2 seed, and the loser is the #3 seed.
The Mineral Wells/Burkburnett winner will be the #4 seed, and the loser will miss the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Brock vs. Benbrook (5-4, 3-1)/Godley (4-5, 2-2)/FW Dunbar (4-5, 2-2)/Hillsboro (2-7, 1-3)
#2 seed vs. Benbrook/Godley/FW Dunbar/Hillsboro
#3 seed vs. Benbrook/Godley/FW Dunbar/Hillsboro
#4 seed. vs. Glen Rose (4-5, 4-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Brock
2. Graham
3. Eagle Mountain
4. Mineral Wells
DISTRICT 3-3A DIVISION I
Once again we head to the final week of the season with plenty to be decided from this district.
If Jim Ned beats Sweetwater, then the Indians are district champs and the #1 seed.
If Jim Ned beats Sweetwater and Clyde beats Comanche, then Jim Ned is #1, Clyde, #2, and Sweetwater #3.
If Sweetwater beats Jim Ned by 8 or more and Clyde beats Comanche, then Sweetwater would be #1, Clyde, #2, and Jim Ned #3.
If Sweetwater beats Jim Ned by exactly 7, there would be a three-way tie between the three teams with 0 positive points.
If Sweetwater beats Jim Ned by 6 or fewer, Jim Ned would be #1, Clyde #2, and Sweetwater #3.
If Sweetwater beats Jim Ned and Comanche beats Clyde, Sweetwater would be #1, Jim Ned #2, and Clyde #3.
Breckenridge can wrap up the #4 seed with a win over 0-9 TLCA San Angelo.
If Comanche beats Clyde and the Buckaroos lose to TLCA, Comanche would take the #4 spot, and Breckenridge would miss the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. Boyd (5-4, 2-3)/Ponder (5-4, 2-4)/Bowie (3-5, 1-4)
#2 vs. Vernon (7-1, 4-1)/Peaster (8-1, 4-1) loser
#3 vs. Vernon/Peaster winner
#4 vs. Paradise (8-1, 5-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Jim Ned
2. Clyde
3. Sweetwater
4. Breckenridge
DISTRICT 4-3A DIVISION II
Wall is the #1 seed, and Grape Creek is locked in at #2.
If Coahoma beats Merkel, the Bulldogs will be #2, Grape Creek #3, and Merkel #4.
If Merkel beats Coahoma, there will be a three-way tie between 2-2 Merkel, Coahoma, and Grape Creek.
A Merkel win by 11 or more gets them the #3 seed and Coahoma #4.
A Merkel win by 10 or fewer puts the Badgers at #4 and Coahoma at #3.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Wall vs. Anthony (2-7, 0-5)
#2 vs. Alpine (2-7, 2-3)
#3 vs. Crane (5-4, 3-2)
#4 vs. Odessa Compass (8-1, 5-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Wall
2. Coahoma
3. Grape Creek
4. Merkel
DISTRICT 5-3A DIVISION II
If Brady beats Clifton, the Bulldogs are the #1 seed.
If Brady beats Clifton and Early beats Dublin, Brady is #1, Early is #2, and Clifton is #3.
If Clifton beats Brady and Early beats Dublin, Early would be #1, Clifton #2, and Brady #3.
If Clifton beats Brady and Early loses to Dublin, then Clifton would be #1, Brady #2, and Early #3.
If Tolar beats Eastland, the Rattlers are in at #4, regardless if Dublin upsets Early.
If Tolar loses to Eastland and Dublin beats Early, the Lions will be #4 and Tolar will miss the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. Holliday (6-3, 2-2)/Henrietta (5-4, 2-2)/Millsap (3-6, 1-3)
#2 vs. Holliday (6-3, 2-2)/Henrietta (5-4, 2-2)/Millsap (3-6, 1-3)/City View (7-2, 3-1)
#3 vs. Holliday (6-3, 2-2)/Henrietta (5-4, 2-2)/Millsap (3-6, 1-3)/City View (7-2, 3-1)
#4 vs. Jacksboro (5-4, 4-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Brady
2. Early
3. Clifton
4. Tolar
DISTRICT 3-2A DIVISION I
Ozona has wrapped up the #1 seed and the district title and will host Christoval in the regular season finale.
Sonora is the #2 seed.
If Sonora loses, Forsan beats Reagan County, and Christoval loses: Sonora #2, Forsan #3, Christoval #4.
If Sonora loses, Forsan wins, and Christoval wins: Sonorao #2, Forsan #3, Christoval #4.
If Sonora loses, Forsan loses, and Christoval loses: Sonora #2, Christoval/Forsan/Reagan County tied for the last two spots with 2-3 district records. I think Reagan County would have to win by 10 (and get to +4 points with head-to-head) or more to be #3, send Forsan to #4 (+4) and Christoval would miss the playoffs (-8). If Reagan County wins by 9 or fewer, the Owls would be #4, Forsan would be #3, and Christoval would miss the playoffs.
If Forsan beats Reagan County and Christoval loses to Ozona, then Forsan will be #3 and Christoval #4.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Ozona vs. Anson (6-3, 1-3)/Olney (3-6, 1-3)
#2 vs. Stamford (6-3/3-1)/Hawley (6-3, 3-1) loser
#3 vs. Stamford/Hawley winner
#4 vs. Cisco (8-1, 4-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Ozona
2. Sonora
3. Forsan
4. Christoval
DISTRICT 4-2A DIVISION I
Cisco is the #1 seed.
The winner of the Hawley/Stamford game gets the #2, and the loser is #3.
If Anson beats TLCA Abilene, the Tigers are #4.
If Anson loses and Olney beats Cisco, then the Cubs would be #4 and Anson would miss the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Cisco vs. Christoval (4-5, 2-2)/Forsan (3-6, 2-2)/Reagan County (3-6, 1-3)
#2 vs. Christoval/Forsan/Reagan County
#3 vs. Sonora (7-2, 3-1)
#4 vs. Ozona (9-0, 4-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Cisco
2. Hawley
3. Stamford
4. Anson
DISTRICT 5-2A DIVISION I
Just like last season, the De Leon/Hamilton winner is the #1 seed and the loser is the #2 seed.
Bangs will be the #3 seed with a win over Coleman.
If Coleman beats Bangs and Hico loses to Ballinger: Coleman #3, Bangs #4, Hico out
If Coleman beats Bangs and Hico beats Ballinger, there will be three-way tie between Bangs, Coleman, and Hico at 2-3 in district. The district uses points to deterimine the three-seed, and then head-to-head to after that.
Hico is already at (0), Bangs is currently at (+1), and Coleman is at (-1). If Coleman wins by exactly one point and Hico beats Ballinger, there would be coin flip.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 De Leon/Hamilton winner vs. Tioga (4-4, 3-2)
#2 De Leon/Hamilton loser vs. Tom Bean (8-2, 4-2)
#3 vs. Wolfe City (5-4, 4-1)/Alvord (7-2, 5-0)
#4 vs. Wolfe City (5-4, 4-1)/Alvord (7-2, 5-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. De Leon
2. Hamilton
3. Bangs
4. Hico
DISTRICT 14-2A DIVISION I
Mason, San Saba, and Thorndale are all playoff bound.
Mason is #1 with a win over San Saba.
San Saba is #1 with a win over Mason and a Thorndale loss to Holland.
Mason, San Saba, and Thorndale would be tied with 4-1 district records if the Armadilloes beat the Punchers and Thorndale beats Holland. Assuming a +-15 max points tiebreaker in this district, if San Saba beats Mason by 10 or more then San Saba would be #1, Mason #2, and Thorndale #3. If San Saba beats Mason by 9 or fewer: Mason #1, San Saba #2, Thorndale #3.
The winner of the Johnson City (1-3) at Harper (1-3) game gets the four seed and the loser misses the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. Marlin (2-7, 2-2)/Moody (5-4, 2-2) loser
#2 vs. Marlin/Moody winner
#3 vs. Crawford (8-1, 4-0)/Rosebud-Lott (8-1, 4-0) loser
#4 vs. Crawford/Rosebud-Lott winner
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Mason
2. Thorndale
3. San Saba
4. Johnson City
DISTRICT 6-2A DIVISION II
Pretty easy in this district compared to how complicated it was a year ago!
The Petrolia/Winthorst winner is the #2 seed, the loser is the #2 seed.
The Haskell/Electra winner is the #3 seed, the loser is the #4 seed.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. Clarendon (1-8, 1-3)/Shamrock (2-7, 2-2)/Quanah (5-4, 2-2)
#2 vs. Clarendon/Shamrock/Quanah
#3 vs. Wellington (7-2, 3-1)/Quanah/Shamrock
#4 vs. Wheeler (8-1, 4-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Petrolia
2. Windthorst
3. Haskell
4. Electra
DISTRICT 7-2A DIVISION II
The Albany/Hamlin winner is the #1 seed, the loser is the #2 seed.
If Roscoe beats Miles, the Plowboys are the #3 seed.
If Roscoe beats Miles and Cross Plains beats Winters: Roscoe #3, Cross Plains #4.
If Miles beats Roscoe and Cross Plains loses to Winters: Miles #3, Roscoe #4, Cross Plains out.
If Miles beats Roscoe and Cross Plains beats Winters there would be a three-way tie for third between CP, Miles, and Roscoe at 2-3 in district play. Miles would have to beat Roscoe by 17 or more to make the positive points for all three teams 0. If Miles were to win by 16 or fewer, Roscoe would be #3 and Cross Plains #4.
Despite an 0-4 district record, Winters still has a chance to get in as well with a win by 16 or more over Cross Plains and a Miles loss to Roscoe.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 Albany/Hamlin winner vs. Era (6-3, 1-3)/Lindsay (7-2, 2-2)/Santo (6-3, 2-2)
#2 Albany/Hamlin loser vs. Era/Lindsay/Santo/Collinsville (7-2, 3-1)
#3 vs. Collinsville/Lindsay/Santo
#4 vs. Muenster (7-2, 4-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Albany
2. Hamlin
3. Roscoe
4. Cross Plains
DISTRICT 10-2A DIVISION II
Bremond, Chilton, Goldthwaite, and Mart are all playoff bound.
Bremond is locked in at #1 and Chilton is #2.
The Goldthwaite/Mart winner is #3, the loser is #4.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 Bremond vs. Detroit (4-4, 3-2)/Simms Bowie (2-7, 2-3)
#2 Chilton vs. Detroit/Clarksville (7-3, 4-2)
#3 vs. Cumby (5-3, 4-1)/Maud (4-5, 4-1)/Clarksville
#4 vs. Cumby/Maud/Clarksville
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Bremond
2. Chilton
3. Goldthwaite
4. Mart
DISTRICT 6-1A DIVISION I
Newcastle is in as the #1 seed.
The Northside/Perrin-Whitt winner is the #2 seed.
If Perrin-Whitt and Bryson win, there would be a three-way tie between PW, Bryson, and Northside at 2-2 in district play, but Bryson would miss out regardless because they are -46 in points against the Pirates and Indians.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Newcastle vs. Petersburg (4-5, 3-0)/Valley (3-6, 3-0) loser
#2 vs. Petersburg/Valley winner
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Newcastle
2. Northside
DISTRICT 7-1A DIVISION I
Ira is in as the #1 seed.
The Westbrook/Hermleigh winner will be in at #2 and the loser is out of the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Ira vs. Robert Lee (9-1, 3-1)
#2 vs. Water Valley (9-0, 3-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Ira
2. Westbrook
DISTRICT 8-1A DIVISION I
Water Valley is #1, Robert Lee is #2.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Water Valley vs. Hermleigh (6-3, 3-1)/Westbrook (7-2, 3-1) winner
Robert Lee vs. Ira (7-2, 4-0)
DISTRICT 13-1A DIVISION I
The Gordon/Gorman winner is the #1 seed, the loser is the #2 seed.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. May (8-1, 2-0)/Jonesboro loser
#2 vs. May/Jonesboro winner
DISTRICT 14-1A DIVISION I
May and Jonesboro have punched their playoff tickets.
The winner of their game is the top seed and district champ and the loser is the #2 seed.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. Gordon (8-0, 3-0)/Gorman (4-5, 3-0) loser
#2 vs. Gordon/Gorman winner
DISTRICT 6-1A DIVISION II
Bronte is the district champion and #1 seed in the playoffs.
If Blackwell beats Trent, the Hornets are in as #2 seed.
If Trent beats Blackwell, there would be a three-way tie with Loraine (who is off this week), Blackwell, and Trent at 2-2 in district. Trent would have to beat Blackwell by 24 to reach the playoffs at (+2). If Blackwell loses by 23 or fewer it will still make the playoffs.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 Bronte vs. Grandfalls/Royalty (7-2, 2-1)/Fort Davis (3-5, 2-2)/Sierra Blanca (1-7, 1-2)
#2 vs. Balmorhea (8-1, 3-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Bronte
2. Blackwell
DISTRICT 7-1A DIVISION II
Benjamin is the top seed and district champ and Guthrie is the #2 seed.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Benjamin vs. Aspermont (8-1, 2-1)/Paint Creek (7-2, 2-1) winner
Guthrie vs. Jayton (10-0, 4-0) set for Thursday, Nov. 13 at 7 p.m. in Knox City
DISTRICT 8-1A DIVISION II
Jayton is in as the district champion and #1 seed.
The Aspermont/Paint Creek winner this week will be #2 and the loser is out.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
Jayton (10-0, 4-0) vs. Guthrie (7-2, 3-1) - set for Thursday, Nov. 13 at 7 p.m. in Knox City
Aspermont/Paint Creek winner vs. Benjamin
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Jayton (locked in)
2. Aspermont
DISTRICT 9-1A DIVISION II
The winner of the Strawn/Woodson game will be the #1 seed in the playoffs; the loser will be the #2 seed.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. Gold-Burg (2-7, 1-1)/Forestburg (1-8, 0-1)/Fannindel (9-0, 1-0)
#2 vs. Gold-Burg/Forestburg/Fannindel
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Strawn
2. Woodson
DISTRICT 11-1A DIVISION II
Bluff Dale is the top seed and district champion, Three Way is locked in at #2.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 Bluff Dale vs. Mount Calm (7-2, 1-1)/Bynum (2-7, 1-1) winner
#2 Three Way vs. Oakwood (5-4, 2-0) - set for Nov. 14 at 7 p.m. in Abbott
DISTRICT 13-1A DIVISION II
Zephyr is the #1 seed with a win over Gustine.
If Zephyr wins and Blanket beats Sidney, the Bulldogs are #1 and Blanket is #2.
If Gustine wins and Sidney beats Blanket, then Gustine would be #1 and Zephyr #2.
If Gustine wins and Blanket wins, there would be a three-way tie for the top spot with 3-1 records.
There is a 32-point cap in this district, so Gustine would have to beat Zephyr by 22 or more to get to the #2 seed at (-10), put Zephyr at #3 at (-12), and Blanket would #1 seed at (+22).
If Gustine were to win by 21, they would be at (-11) and so would Zephyr, so I’d assume Gustine would get in via a head-to-head win over Zephyr and Blanket would be #1 still at (+22).
Please correct me if I am wrong… there are different rules for each district and lot to try to sort out.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 vs. Oglesby (8-1, 3-0)/Evant (5-4, 3-0) loser
#2 vs. Oglesby/Evant winner
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Zephyr
2. Blanket
DISTRICT 15-1A DIVISION II
Richland Springs is the #1 seed, while the Panther Creek/Rochelle winner will get the second playoff spot.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 Richland Springs vs. Cherokee (8-1, 2-0)/Calvert (4-4, 2-0) loser
#2 seed vs. Cherokee/Calvert winner
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Richland Springs
2. Rochelle
DISTRICT 16-1A DIVISION II
The Cherokee/Calvert winner is the district champion and #1 seed, the loser is the #2 seed.
Potential bi-district playoff matchups:
#1 seed vs. Panther Creek (5-4, 2-1)/Rochelle (3-6, 2-1) winner
#2 seed vs. Richland Springs (7-1, 3-0)
Predicted Playoff Teams
1. Cherokee
2. Calvert
TAPPS DIVISION II - DISTRICT 1
Crowley Nazarene is the #1 seed.
The Abilene Christain/Fort Worth Covenent Classical winner is the two-seed and the loser is in the playoffs as the three-seed.
The #2 seed comes with a neutral site playoff game, while the #3 seed will have to play at District 3 champion Rockwall Heritage.
Potential playoff matchups:
#1 Crowley Nazarene vs. Decatur Victory Christian (4-4, 1-2)/Red Oak Ovilla Christian (6-3, 2-1)
#2 seed vs. Decatur Victory Christian (4-4, 1-2)/Red Oak Ovilla Christian (6-3, 2-1)
#3 seed vs. Rockwall Heritage (7-1, 4-0)
